@Article{BettolliSRLGFOLCRCBBBDFHMC:2021:CoStSt,
               author = "Bettolli, Maria Laura and Solman, Silvina A. and Rocha, Rosmeri 
                         Porfirio da and Llopart, Marta and Gutierrez, Jos{\'e} Manuel and 
                         Fern{\'a}ndez, Jes{\'u}s and Olmo, M. E. and Lavin-Gullon, 
                         Alvaro and Chou, Sin Chan and Rodrigues, Daniela Carneiro and 
                         Coppola, E. and Balmaceda Huarte, R. and Barreiro, Marcelo and 
                         Bl{\'a}zquez, Josefina and Doyle, M. and Feijo{\'o}, M. and 
                         Huth, R. and Machado, L. and Cuadra, S. Vianna",
          affiliation = "{Universidad de Buenos Aires (UBA)} and {Universidad de Buenos 
                         Aires (UBA)} and {Universidade de S{\~a}o Paulo (USP)} and 
                         {Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)} and {Universidad de 
                         Cantabria} and {Universidad de Cantabria} and {Universidad de 
                         Buenos Aires (UBA)} and {Universidad de Cantabria} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {International Centre of 
                         Theoretical Physics (ICTP)} and {Universidad de Buenos Aires 
                         (UBA)} and {Universidad de la Rep{\'u}blica} and {Unit{\'e} 
                         Mixte Internationale (UMI)} and {Universidad de Buenos Aires 
                         (UBA)} and {Unit{\'e} Mixte Internationale (UMI)} and {Acadamy of 
                         Sciences of Czech Republic} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and {Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa 
                         Agropecu{\'a}ria (EMBRAPA)}",
                title = "The CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study in southeastern South America: a 
                         comparative study of statistical and dynamical downscaling models 
                         in simulating daily extreme precipitation events",
              journal = "Climate Dynamics",
                 year = "2021",
               volume = "56",
               number = "5/6",
                pages = "1589--1608",
                month = "Mar.",
             keywords = "Extreme precipitation, Statistical and dynamical downscaling, 
                         Observational uncertainty, Southeastern South America.",
             abstract = "The aim of this work is to present preliminary results of the 
                         statistical and dynamical simulations carried out within the 
                         framework of the Flagship Pilot Study in southeastern South 
                         America (FPS-SESA) endorsed by the Coordinated Regional Climate 
                         Downscaling Experiments (CORDEX) program. The FPS-SESA initiative 
                         seeks to promote inter-institutional collaboration and further 
                         networking with focus on extreme rainfall events. The main 
                         scientific aim is to study multi-scale processes and interactions 
                         most conducive to extreme precipitation events through both 
                         statistical and dynamical downscaling techniques, including 
                         convection-permitting simulations. To this end, a targeted 
                         experiment was designed considering the season October 2009 to 
                         March 2010, a period with a record number of extreme precipitation 
                         events within SESA. Also, three individual extreme events within 
                         that season were chosen as case studies for analyzing specific 
                         regional processes and sensitivity to resolutions. Four dynamical 
                         and four statistical downscaling models (RCM and ESD respectively) 
                         from different institutions contributed to the experiment. In this 
                         work, an analysis of the capability of the set of the FPS-SESA 
                         downscaling methods in simulating daily precipitation during the 
                         selected warm season is presented together with an integrated 
                         assessment of multiple sources of observations and available 
                         CORDEX Regional Climate Model simulations. Comparisons among all 
                         simulations reveal that there is no single model that performs 
                         best in all aspects evaluated. The ability in reproducing the 
                         different features of daily precipitation depends on the model. 
                         However, the evaluation of the sequence of precipitation events, 
                         their intensity and timing suggests that FPS-SESA simulations 
                         based on both RCM and ESD yield promising results. Most models 
                         capture the extreme events selected, although with a considerable 
                         spread in accumulated values and the location of heavy 
                         precipitation.",
                  doi = "10.1007/s00382-020-05549-z",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05549-z",
                 issn = "0930-7575",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "bettolli_cordex.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "09 maio 2024"
}